If you're bearish...

It's hard to imagine this rally running too far with the VIX starting at such a low level.  Typically, strong rallies need to see a VIX at least in the low to mid teens to have any sustainability.  This rally started with the VIX at 11.50. 

In addition, both the SPX and the NDX will hit a DeMark Sequential (TM) 13 sell signal if the indexes close at new highs.  The DeMark signals form a "spread top" on occasion because the 13 count has to be higher than the 8 - this is a "safety switch" which DeMark built into the Sequential and Combo indicators to make sure a trend is actually extended when the 13 appears.  While I have found these "spread top" DeMark signals to be much less reliable than those which are more compact, I still pay attention to them since they do work well on occasion.

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