In honor of the Emmys, I will present the Stupid.com award to...myself...for thinking that the energy market could turn down. I knew I was in trouble when Alchemy called last week's pull back in the energy markets a "set up to buy." Alchemy has become the "Monsieur Trend Follower of Strong Industry Groups" and going against his 'mo has been hazardous to your wealth.
But like any bad retailer, I'll blame my mistake on the weather...were it not for Hurricane Rita, I would have been right!
I'll just agree to disagree with the oil markets and leave it at that - I'm not putting capital at risk long or short. I still believe the high oil inventories don't justify the rising oil prices. Oil inventories continue to linger well above 5 year averages despite the devastation caused by Hurricane Katrina. That's why OPEC's decrees of more oil have no effect...there's no need to pump more oil because inventories are already high. High gas prices are the result of maxed-out refining capacity. There's plenty of oil, just not enough gasoline. And that's a problem that won't be solved for a while.
Source: Bloomberg via Bernstein Research
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